Another study conducted by The World Bank Group comparing predictive models for startup outcomes found that even structured forecast approaches struggle to predict success, underscoring that intuitive or judged signals, like competition wins, are not reliable predictors of future performance.
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As a result, it is uniquely easy for bad actors to muddy the historical record for video games, to sow disinformation about who owns what, and to interfere with the efforts of historians, documentarians, and archivists—and even individual citizen researchers—to celebrate and understand the history of video games.
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